Category Archives: New York Jets

Prognostication Is My Business: Week 3 in the 2012 NFL

Does anyone like Thursday night games? I know the players don’t as several will miss the games with injuries that typically take a full week to almost heal and I’m pretty sure the fans don’t even like it. They can only be seen on the NFL Network and your team will only be on there once a year, which is hardly a reason to switch to dish and they completely ruin Sundays if your team is playing. To be perfectly honest I don’t even like Monday Night Football. I like my Sundays. I digress. The Patriots nearly came from behind, but still lost, in a game they were favored by nearly two touchdowns while the Giants completed the comeback and won by a touchdown. Buffalo had no need for a comeback as they blew out the Chiefs and the Jets had no chance as they were stifled by the Steelers. Let’s see how they will fare this week.

@ Carolina Panthers -2.5 New York Giants

This is an awful spot for the G-Men. Hakeem Nicks, David Diehl, Ahmad Bradshaw and Domenik Hixon are all out. They are on the road against a dynamic player in Cam Newton who can eat up defenses. The reasons why the Panthers are favored is obvious and as a prognosticator I think it’s the safe bet, but induldge me for a moment and I’ll tell you why as a fan I believe they will win. We still have Eli Manning and Victor Cruz. I don’t think Bradshaw is a feature back, so that isn’t a huge loss. They haven’t had the same offensive line seemingly since 2008. Newton is prone to make mistakes in the form of interceptions so the name of the game is contain and force him to pick apart the secondary. Big Blue is a more seasoned team and can take advantage of the up and coming Panthers. Plus the Giants always do the opposite of what you think they will.

New York Jets -2.5 @ Miami Dolphins

Anything can happen in road games and more importantly in divisional games. The Jets look like a mediocre team this year, which is more than you can say for the fish. Sure both teams are 1-1, but the Dolphins had the luxury of playing a west coast team on their home turf, where they all have trouble adjusting to the new time zone. The Jets will have no such problem and will move the ball on that weak d like an offensive lineman on a buffet. Ryan Tannehill will have more growing pains. Off the field he was winning the battle with his smoking hot wife Lauren, but the Jets are pulling closer as Mark Sanchez is dating Eva Longoria. Or are they winning?

Buffalo Bills -3 @ Cleveland Browns

I’m back in on the Bills. Well in certain situations like playing quite possibly the worst team in the league. CJ Spiller is my proudest prediction thus far. Have I mentioned that yet? I think I may have. I believe that Fitzy will have a big game passing for 300 plus yards while there is another dominating performance for everybody’s favorite losers.

@ Baltimore Ravens -3 New England Patriots

My how the mighty have fallen. The Pats looked like they would roll through this season straight into their second straight Superbowl. We knew they would lose a couple, because everyone does, but the Arizona Cardinals? Now the world has lost faith in this squad as they are road dogs. The Ravens lost last week too remember? I think that Belichick has had this game circled on his calendar for months and will be prepared to baffle Flaco, shut down Ray Rice and allow Tom Brady to do what he does best. Pats win on the road.

-Erik

Did I get it right? Let me know what you think via our twitter (@seeuinoctober) or leave us a comment.

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Try, Try Again – Week Three Picks

Make fun of Tom Brady for the Uggs commercials but you can’t question the toughness of anyone who will get in Ray Lewis’ grill.

It’s been a pretty rough first couple weeks in terms of picking for us here at SeeYouInOctober. Last week I finished with a 1-2-1 mark thnaks to the Giants hitting the seven points on the head. Overall this season I am now 2-4-1. That’s not exactly stellar but last weekend I went 9-0 (and 6-2 against the spread) in picking college games of my full-time gig so I have a feeling things are going to start turning around.

New York Jets (-2.5) at Miami Dolphins

I’m taking another New York team on the road in this one. Miami is just so bad. I know the Dolphins took down Oakland last week but the Jets won’t be recovering from a late Monday night game and have had a full week to prepare. Revis is still questionable to play which could hurt but if the Jets secondary can’t stop Tannehill without Revis I’m not sure that they can with Revis.

Snaps for Tebow: Seven. I think the Wildcat gets a few more laps around the track this weekend. I also predicted Tebow’s first pass attempt of the season.

The Pick: Jets 24 Dolphins 12

New York Giants (+2.5) at Carolina Panthers

Boy do I love me some Cam Newton. The dude is just a beast. Reminds me a bunch of Daunte Culpepper with his ability to throw and

Love Killa’ Cam but I’m taking the Giants this week.

run over dudes. He’s better than Vick because he doesn’t crumple like wet paper towels when he gets hit. In fact he often brings the pain more than takes it. I am wary about him because he reminds me of a young LeBron and I’m terrified he will do something a la the decision that will make me turn on him.

Anyway I really like the Giants in this game. I think that win over Tampa Bay really got the momentum going and even with Hakeem Nicks and most of the rest of the roster out, Eli has clearly made it to the elite level. I also think the Panthers, while a team that will be a ton of fun to watch this season, is still locked for a 7-9 year or thereabouts.

The Pick: Giants 28, Panthers 21

Buffalo (-3) at Cleveland

C.J. Spiller is getting ready for a “Get on my back and I will carry you to 2-1” game. The Browns actually played well in week two and Brandon Weedon actually looked like a real NFL quarterback. This week the pass rush, led by Mario Williams might be too much for the 28-year-old rookie and if Spiller is for real (and I am all in on that being true) the Bills will put up their second blowout in as many weeks. Otherwise the Browns will be 2-1 and tied for first in the AFC North and really who thinks that’s going to happen?

The Pick: Bills 31 Browns 14

New England (+3) at Baltimore

From 13.5 favorite to three-point dogs. That’s what a 20-18 loss to to the effing Cardinals will do to you. Still the Patriots probably would not have been favored in this game anyway. Both teams are coming off of tough losses and desperately want  a win to stay above .500. Plus the bad blood between these teams tied in with the Patriots narrow win in the AFC title game make this a HUGE week three matchup. Still this game seems perfect for Baltimore who even without T-Suggs has a strong defense and will be out for blood against New England. Needless to say I am not looking forward to the painful Sunday night I will be enduring.

The Pick: Ravens 27 Patriots 20

-Phil

Think I got it wrong? Let us know on Twitter (@seeuinoctober) or in the comments.

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Crash Landings and Tebow Chants

Back to earth for Jets (steelers.com)

TEBOW! TEBOW! TEBOW! TEBOW!And since the Jets love to spell;  T – E – B – O – W  TEBOW TEBOW TEBOW!

That didn’t take long did it? Perhaps the fervor hasn’t reached a point where billboards are going up in NYC urging Rex Ryan to start Mr. Tebow but after a ghastly performance from Mark Sanchez, and really the entire Jets team you can already feel the Tebow fans arising from their slumber ready to bring a hale of boos and Tebow chants down on MetLife Stadium.

Why you ask? Didn’t Mark Sanchez play phenomenally in week one? Wasn’t that proof that this was the year he would finally make that next step? Well sure if he hadn’t dropped out a 10-for-27, 138-yard effort against the Steelers in a 27-10 loss last weekend. Before anyone comes running to Sanchez’s defense with the excuse of it was in Pittsburgh or the Steelers are a great team. Yes it was in Pittsburgh but James Harrison wasn’t playing and even against a good team shouldn’t you be able to complete at least, I don’t know, 40 PERCENT OF YOUR PASSES?!

Well not the Sanchize. It’s back to the bottom of the barrel yet again. Obviously he’s not in the Rodgers/Brady conversation but he should at least be getting into Flacco/Ryan territory by now and neither Flacs or Matty Ice put up those kind of numbers against anyone.

Meanwhile Sanchez’s arch-nemesis (the one that isn’t called consistent quarterback play) Tim Tebow played in something like three

Most important 22 yards rushing all day. (newyorkjets.com)

snaps and finished with one rush for 22 yards. I don’t think Tebow is the answer. I don’t think the Jets are any betetr if Tebow starts but if Sanchez continues to have absolute duds like he did last week the calls for the Jesus of football are going to start to get louder and louder.

Sanchez deteriorating robbed Jets fans of getting to see the ascension of Stephen Hill, who could be the team’s next Keyshawn Johnson. The Georgia Tech alum (that’s right the same Georiga Tech as one Calvin Johnson) was targeted only twice and had zero catches while Santonio Holmes had 11 target (three catches, 28 yards, TD) and the immortal Jeremy Kerly had four targets and a pair of catches.  It’s like the Jets are allergic to offensive stars. When was the last time they really had one. It’s got to be Curtis Martin or Keyshawn right? Since C-Mart retired this squad has just been a conundrum inside of an enigma marinated in question marks offensively speaking. Hill could be the stand out guy they need but if Sanchez (or Tebow) is throwing to him he might not get the chance to show that.

The Shonn Greene as a feature back era is slowly losing ground as well. Greene has the perfect name to be  star for the Jets but put up only 23 yards on 11 carries in the loss to Pittsburgh. Greene had a 1,000-yard season last year but just barely (1,054 yards) and really how impressive is just getting to the 1,000-yard mark anymore? Greene will again have solid  numbers this season if only because he gets all the carries.

Missing Darrelle Revis certainly hurt the Jets on offense against Pittsburgh. Antonio Brown and Mike Wallace, one of which would have been covered by Revis Island, both got open far too often in the game, especially deep. Brown finished with seven catches for 79 yards and Wallace had five receptions for 74 yards and a touchdown.

Garrett McIntyre had a (surprisingly) nice game against Pittsburgh with two sacks, the first of his career, of Big Ben. McIntyre was just one of a number of guys in the front seven that played well as the Jets swarmed especially against the run limiting the Steelers to just 66 yards on 28 carries. That’s just 2.4-yards-per-carry. It’s like they were going against Shonn Greene.

Revis is still in doubt for Sunday’s game against Miami but come on the Dolphins are awful and if the rest of the secondary can’t stop Ryan Tannehill it might not matter when or if Revis Island comes back.

Sanchez will get the start this week and Rex Ryan has been understandably mute on how much usage Tim Tebow will get and has downright denied that he will start. Sanchez will get some breathing room this week though thanks to a bad Dolphins squad but after that the schedule toughens up over the next four weeks (vs. SF, vs. HOU, vs. IND, @NE) and those Tebow chants could get louder with it.

-Phil

Should the JEts consider using Tebow more often? Is Sanchez as good as week one or as bad as week two? Somewhere in between? Let us know on Twitter (@seeuinoctober) or in the comments.

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Prognostication Is My Bussiness: Week 2 in the 2012 NFL

Thank goodness for the New England Patriots. If it weren’t for the hall of fame tandem of Mr. Brady and Coach Belichick both Phil and I would have totally struck out on the opening weekend. Buffal Oh No! I was nervous about that pick going into the game and they showed us why. Rex Ryan may actually know what he’s doing? And leave it to the New York Football Giants to be the first team in history to lose a slam dunk home opener post Superbowl championship. It’s always interesting here in the northeast where we shrug off losses like these and keep our sights set on the playoffs.

@ New York Giants -7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Have to believe the G-Men will rebound this weekend. They can’t start the season 0-2 at home and with an extra three days of rest and preparation, they will come out hungry. I think this Tampa team is much closer to the 10-6 team of two years ago rather than their putrid four wins last season, but this is a really bad spot for them. Victor Cruz dropped a few sure catches last week so you have to be worried about a sophomore slump. HOWEVA, he dropped a couple in the opener at Washington last season and was written off as fans clamored for Steve Smith. How’d that work out? Big Blue will be fine.

@ New England Patriots -13.5 Arizona Cardinals

Oh it is so tempting to say that no NFL team can win by two touchdowns. HOWEVA, these New England Patriots don’t play by those rules. The Cardinals are still trying to figure out who they are and who their quarterback is for that matter, but the Pats know exactly who they are. They are the Superbowl runner-ups (zing). That makes them angry and I almost feel bad for the teams on their schedule. With a revamped defense and an improved running game they will dominate the line of scrimmage, time of possession and, most importantly, the scoreboard.

@ Buffalo Bills -3 Kansas City Chiefs

I may not claim to know very much about the NFL, but I do know that good teams bounce back at home and you should never put too much stock in any individual game. HOWEVA, I didn’t like what I saw at all from the Bills last week. I don’t think they’re a good team, so the first rule doesn’t apply and they looked small compared to the Jets, which doesn’t get better. This KC team remembers what happened last year and after seeing what happened last week they are licking their chops. It’s going to be a rough couple weeks for the Bills, but give it a few weeks for CJ Spiller to really establish himself and for the coaching staff to put together a better game plan. Just not this week.

@ Pittsburgh Steelers -5 New York Jets

Do you think the 2012 Steelers are a good team? I’m really not sold. They are aging defensively and have some serious issues on the offensive line. In many ways they remind me of the New York Giants, but I don’t have a vested interest in their success, so I have my doubts. HOWEVA, I really did like what I saw from the Jets week one and it wasn’t the ground and pound. It was the uptempo short throws with a balanced running attack to set up play action. The defensive front line was unimpressive, but nobody can bring down Big Ben. If Revis plays, I think the Jets can win it. Either way it’s a field goal difference.

-Erik

Think I got them right? Let me know via our twitter (@seeuinoctober) or leave a comment.

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Not Overreacting – Week Two Picks

IF anything about the Bears-Packers game on Thursday night taught us, it’s that week one doesn’t decide the entire season. The Bears were chucking the ball around the field like the ’07 Patriots last Sunday while the Packers couldn’t handle Alex Smith at home. However last night the Packers brutalized Jay Cutler and the Chicago offense en route to a 23-10 win.

Maybe the Bears offense looked so great because, I don’t know, they were playing a team that won TWO games last season? Perhaps the Packers struggled against a Super Bowl contender from a year ago that only got better on offense in the off-season.

So with the example fresh in my mind it’s time for this weeks picks where the Jets soar into Pittsburgh, the Bills try to regroup against Kansas City, the Giants get rested for Tampa Bay and the Patriots bring in an NFC West team not named San Francisco.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants (-7)

The optimist says: Giants played a typical Giants game where they made some bad decisions and let a game get away from them. There is no way that Eli Manning will play that badly this season. There is also the distinct possibility that the Cowboys might actually be good this season (GASP!) and the Giants were just beaten by a good team. You know who isn’t a very good team? Tampa Bay.

The pessimist says: Victor Cruz has crashed back down to earth and the running game was less than stellar. Maybe the Manning’s only have a finite amount of talent they can use and Eli was only great because Peyton was out for a year. Also Tampa Bay doesn’t have Raheem Morris coaching them anymore.

The Pick: New York Giants 27 Tampa Bay 13

Arizona Cardinals at New England Patriots (-13.5)

The optimist says: Kevin Kolb is playing quarterback. That’s right that Kevin Kolb. The guy who was benched for John Skelton to start this season. Now he’s got to contend with the greatly improved Patriots defense and the beast that is Chandler Jones. Plus this game is in New England. Plus the Pats scored 34 points last week while looking pretty mediocre in the passing game. For God’s sake Wes Welker had three catches for 14 yards! Oh and now they can run the ball. Now this line seems to low.

The pessimist says: Being favored by two touchdowns is always disconcerting. It’s just such a daunting number. Didn’t you see Kevin Kolb look like Joe Montana when he led that comeback in the desert last week? Tom Brady didn’t look sharp ALL game just most of it. Plus I’m not convinced this Welker production drop might not be a result of the contract negotiations.

The Pick: New England 38, Arizona 17. I really struggled with this. I had a whole section typed where I picked the Cardinals to win with the points but the more I thought about it I just couldn’t see the Cardinals scoring enough to do so.

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (-3)

The optimist says: Last week was just a bad week one. This team is still working out the kinks. Other than a disastrous first half the Bills ended up looking okay. No one comes into the Ralph and pushes the Bills around. Also no one circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills.

The pessimist says: Ryan Fitzpatrick is our franchise quarterback. A guy that couldn’t cut it in Cincy and played football at Harvard is supposed to carry us to the promised land. While teams like Washington and Indianapolis get RG3 and Andrew Luck somehow the quarterback the Bills invest the franchise in is Ryan Fitzpatrick. Plus the Chiefs might have ended up getting blown out by Atlanta last week but the Chiefs played with them in the first half (Trailed 20-17 at half).

The Pick: Kansas City 24 Buffalo 20

New York Jets (+5.5) at Pittsburgh 

The optimist says: J-E-T-S Jets. Jets. Jets. Did you see the offense last week. Sanchez didn’t even care about Tebow. Or maybe he did and it motivated him to finally not play like crap. Stephen Hill is the real deal and the best wideout this team has had since Keyshawn was being thrown to by Neil O’Donnel.

The pessimist says: Darelle Revis might not play because of a concussion. The Bills might be pretty awful. The Steelers are at home in desperation mode after a week one loss to Denver. Ryan Clark couldn’t play at Mile High because of health issues but he’ll be plenty ready to go meaning the Pittsburgh secondary will be stronger than the one Peyton Manning faced last week. Mark Sanchez is not Peyton Manning. Plus there is always the threat that Heinz Field might  get blown up followed by the city of Gotham er Pittsburgh being overtaken by a masked man.

The Pick: Pittsburgh 25 New York Jets 21

-Phil

What were your reactions to week one? Did I get these right? Totally wrong? Let us know via Twitter (@seeuinoctober) or in the comments.

 

Can’t Beat the Coverage

Tonight the second week of this young NFL season kicks off as the Green Bay Packers host the Chicago Bears. As we’ve seen throughout the years the NFL has become increasingly popular and taken up more and more of the airtime on sports talk shows and in the newspapers. This off season was one of the most storied of all-time with plenty to talk about, but it seemed that a few stories garnished most of the attention.

After one full week of the season I began to wonder, which story was actually not that important? We have a few choices for you so pick the storyline that you believe got way more coverage than it deserved and feel free to expand upon your answer in the comments or hit us up on twitter @seeuinoctober.

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The First Like A Boss Award of 2012

One of our most popular features has finally returned as week one of the NFL season wrapped up last night. Each week we select a player or players from the Giants, Jets, Bills and Patriots who were the most boss-like men on the field. This award recognizes the man who went out on Sunday and took charge of the game like a boss. This week the Giants and Bills were received a solid beat down, but the Jets and Pats looked to be in mid-season form.

Here are this week’s nominees for the prestigious LAB.

1- Jeremy Kerley: In the off-season it was Antonio Cromarti who came out and boasted that he was the second best receiver on this Jets roster and many wondered if he was right. You know who didn’t even consider it to be true? Jeremy Kerley, who went out on Sunday and had a monster first half. Kerley nabbed all six passes that came his way including an arrant throw from Sanchez and a touchdown. However, four catches and one TD does not make a man a boss. Oh he took a Brian Moorman punt to the house? Yup that’s how a boss handles his business.

2- Stephen Hill: What? Another Jets receiver not named Santonio or Cromarti? To be fair Cromarti did have a receiving touchdown, but it was thrown by Ryan Fitzpatrick. The 6’4″ 215 lbs. receiver out of Georgia Tech made an impact fitting of his stature in his first NFL game. Hill led Gang Green with five catches, 89 yards and, most importantly, two scores. He looked like those kids who started shaving in sixth grade, but are still on the same field as the kids who still haven’t even hit a growth spurt. He treated the middle of the field like his office and the Bills secondary were interns fetching him coffee.

3- Stevan Ridley: That can’t be right. The Patriots don’t have a running game. Or do they? Last year New England found themselves in entirely too many close games for a team that averaged 32 points per game, but with Ridley’s 125 clock-eating yards, this year could be different. The second year man averaged six yards a carry and punched in touchdown that almost made fans forget about Gronk’s misfired spike. Almost. Ridley commanded the ground game in a way Pats fans haven’t seen since Curtis Martin left for the Jets and many wondered if they would ever see again.

4- Chandler Jones: It is rare to see a rookie step onto the field and make an immediate impact the way Chandler Jones did on Sunday. His numbers weren’t spectacular. It was sure to be the first of many days with five tackles and one bone crushing sack, but that’s what makes it so important. It was the first. With a defense as bad as the Patriots was last season it was important for their draft picks to come in and make an immediate impact and it was palpable on Sunday. Along with Dont’a Hightower, Jones went out to show that this defense can take charge of a game.

And the award goes to…

Jeremy Kerely!!! The Jets receiver got Gang Green on the board in the first quarter and after Stephen Hill put them up by two scores, Kerley went for the jugular and scored on a second quarter punt return. He turned all the plays he was involved in into positive yards and points and in the second half he told the team, “You guys can take it from here.” Just like a boss he gets things started then delegates the work to his subordinates.

-Erik

Think we got it wrong? Let us know via our twitter (@seeuinoctober) or leave us a comment.

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The Jets Aren’t Who We Thought They Were

Jeremy Kerley and Mark Sanchez had big days in the Jets opener. (newyorkjets.com)

New York Jets 48 Buffalo Bills 28

In a battle of two teams with completely opposite expectations it’s safe to say this may have been one of the more surprising outcomes in the opening weekend of the 2012 season. Obviously this isn’t RGIII beating the Saints, but when a team that only mustered one touchdown in the preseason wins in week one 48-28, people are going to stand up and take notice. How did that happen?

The most obvious answer is Ryan Fitzpatrick is the mediocre quarterback we thought he was before his magical first six games last season. He was late on a throw that was picked off by Darelle Revis and didn’t look crisp as he labored to heave the ball to his intended targets. It was a combination of poor decision making and lack of accuracy which led to three interceptions. It was truly a Fitztragic day for the Harvard man as he struggled to complete 56% of his passes. There seemed to be a huge discrepancy in talent as the Jets secondary blanketed the receivers.

Gang Green came out and looked sharp from the second series. Sanchez made one stupid play in the first series as he attempted to flip the ball to a receiver

This was probably an interception. (buffalobills.com)

who wasn’t even looking on a broken play. I said in my prediction that this play would decide the game and against a good team it will, which is why I can’t feel confident about this squad as a true contender. There were also a few can’t miss throws to receivers that Sanchez missed. Other than that it was an impressive first day for Tony Sparano who called an uptempo game with sprinkles of the wildcat and Tim Tebow. There were lots of three step drops and play action calls that made the offensive line look like a brick wall. It was a sharp contrast from the turnstile they resembled in the preseason.

While the football season is one-tenth the length of baseball’s 162 game marathon, it is still a long journey. I’m not going to say too much about what this performance means after week one because I’ve been wrong enough already. What we do know is that the Jets aren’t the dumpster fire we thought they were and the Bills aren’t going to vie for the AFC East this season. The truth for both teams is somewhere in between and over the coming weeks we will discover who they truly are and I can’t wait.

-Erik

Are the Jets really that good? Did Buffalo’s playoff hopes die with one loss? Let us know what you think via our twitter (@seeuinoctober) or leave us a comment.

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Prognostication is my business: Week 1 in the 2012 NFL

Well I certainly don’t like to be wrong, but I’m starting this week off 0-1. The Giants went out on Wednesday and looked like, well the world Champions from last season as only they can. They lost another game they should have one and looked awful doing so. Such is life for fans of Big Blue. Let’s move past that. It’s time to turn on sports again. The Yanks, G-men, Mets and Sox all look fairly equally pitiful right now so how about Gang Green, the Bills and Pats?

New England Patriots (-5.5) at Tennessee Titans

This is a no-brainer. When pro bowl quarterbacks face non pro bowl quarterbacks they win something like 80% of the time. It’s that simple in this game. Bill Belichick and Mr. Brady are never satisfied and will be on a mission this season to show the league that they are the best team in football. And the Titans are starting Jake Locker? Well he might put up some numbers against the porous secondary, but ask Chad Henne how it feels to get into a shootout with the Pats week one. It’s like riding a horse and buggy in a NASCAR race.

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-3)

Even as I write this I have no clue how this game will go. Buffalo dropped both their games to Gang Green last season and they really weren’t close in the first meeting and the second time we saw Steve Johnson being Steve Johnson. I have to go with Buffalo because of the way they seem to start the season when they feel confident. I foresee a tough low-scoring and boring affair, but hey anything is better than watching the Yankees this week. I’m thinking somewhere in the area of 17-13. The difference will be a Mark Sanchez interception, which I hate to say because the last thing I want is for the Jets’ backup to take his job. Now I’m reconsidering. Phil and I picked the same teams and last season he resorted to coin flips… should I pick the Jets? Maybe he knew I’d read his post and switch to them. Well played sir. So I’ll pick Rex… Fitz… ummmm. Yes the Bills. Buffalo get ready to start the hype machine another 1-0 start is in your future.

-Erik

Will I redeem myself today? Even if I don’t I’m ready for Sundays on the couch. Let me know what you think via our twitter (@seeuinoctober) or leave us a comment.

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Meet the Jets-ons

You can’t me interaction between these two isn’t entirely awkward. (Photo courtesy newyorkjets.com)

His boy McElroy!

After a long off season in which you couldn’t escape coverage of the worst team that plays football in New Jersey but still claims New York the Jets will finally step onto a field this weekend. In case ESPN hasn’t completely turned you off of Gang Green (and for just about everyone that isn’t named ‘Fireman Ed’ that point has already been reached) you can now watch them every Sunday. Then you can watch ESPN agonize over them as if a team that didn’t make the playoffs last season is the biggest news-maker in the league.

There is some good news though. Fact: The Jets have never won a Super Bowl in a season when Rex Ryan guaranteed an NFL Championship.  Fact: Rex Ryan did not guarantee a Super Bowl victory this season.  But  like all teams the Jets still  have some pressing issues facing them this season.

1. Is this team too much of a circus to really compete?

The Jets front office watched the team implode last season after back-to-back AFC title game appearances due to anomosity in the locker room and the budding of a number of huge egos. Fingers were pointed all over the place and I’m not sure what was more newsworthy during the season; Mark Sanchez’s ability as a quarterback or what cast member of Gossip Girl he was going home with.

So what did the brainiacs upstairs decide? Let’s bring in one of the most polarizing, attention-grabbing figures in the league and add it to our already tumultuous team. Oh and did we mention he is a quarterback that can’t throw?

Well with the addition of Tim Tebow the Jets again grabbed headlines for all the wrong reasons. To be honest it has to be insulting as a Jets fan. Instead of improving the team the Jets went out and brought in a needless distraction. Sure, Sanchez isn’t great but he certainly resembles an NFL quarterback better than Tebow. So all off-season the supposed QB of the future (Sanchez) has had to deal with a firing squad of questions about his relationship with Tebow and whether or not he’s afraid of Tebow taking his spot. That’s how you instill confidence in your starter! And just last week Rex Ryan sent his players to leadership training. This is a week before the season. Isn’t it a little late for some motivational speaker at the local Marriot to instill a good team mentality?

The short answer to this question is therefore yes.

2. What week does Tim Tebow make his first start?

To clarify I mean at quarterback. Not punt coverage, wildcat-runner, long-snapper or official pre-game prayer sayer. Mark Sanchez

Thanks to ESPN I would prefer to watch more coverage of LeBron than Tebow. (Photo courtesy newyorkjets.com

desperately needs to take the next step and become a top-10 quarterback and he needs to do it now. His 2011 season (56.7 completion percentage, 3,474 yards, 26 TDs, 18 INTs) was the best of his three-year career but in comparison to the elite QBs it was nowhere near where he should be in his third year as a full-time starter. Jets fans have already begun to turn on the Sanchize and with Tebow in the wings it’s only a matter of time before the fans started chanting Tebow instead of booing.

With that said is Tebow the answer? No. The man led some inspiring drives last season after his defense held opponents to 13 points seemingly every game. He can’t consistently complete passes and just doesn’t play the position at the level needed in the NFL. Put him back on Florida and sure he’d be winning Heismans but on an NFL team he barely looks competent. Oh and if you think he’s turned the corner or some other BS just look how he played in the preseason.

Still if (and most people think when) Sanchez can’t get it done Tebow will undoubtedly be called upon to save the season. In the first five weeks of the season Sanchez plays three elite defenses in Pittsburgh, San Francisco and Houston. I say the Jets are 1-4 at around that point and the pressure mounts. Then in seven when the Jets get slammed on the road against the hated Patriots, Sanchez will get benched. So if all you want to do is watch Tebow run in the rain and such tune in week eight against Miami.

3. Who will step on offense?

When the Jets were actually doing well a few years back the offense was built on running the ball and letting Sanchez just serve as a good game-manager, much like what San Francisco did last season. So then last season the Jets decided to change that entirely and begin passing more often. Just look at the numbers. In 2010 the Jets ran the ball 534 times for 2,374 yards and in 2011 rushed 443 times for 1,692 yards. And it’s not as if those attempts just disappeared because of fewer plays or something. They just went to the passing game which is anchored by a QB with a career completion percentage hovering in the mid fifties.

Um, what? You have all that success so you’re decision is to completely change things up?

In the preseason the offense looked even worse as it tried to find an identity. It couldn’t score a touchdown with Sanchez or Tebow, instead having to wait until Greg McElroy led them down the field to find the endzone. Also alarming is that Plaxico Burress, a favorite redzone target last season, is no longer on the team and LaDanian Tomlinson also left.

The obvious answer here is Sanchez but the Jets need a lot out of Shonn Greene and Santonio Holmes as well. Holmes is now the team’s best receiver and Greene needs to be the feature back he has been advertised as for the past few seasons. Also watch for rookie Stephen Hill. He’s a tall, athletic receiver from Georgia Tech. You know like that Calvin Johnson fellow out in Detroit.

4. How hot is Rex Ryan’s seat?

Sexy Rexy is looking even better this season thanks to a big weight loss regimen. But is it possible that Ryan is losing weight at such an

Looking good Rex. Your team…eh not so much. (Photo courtesy newyorkjets.com)

alarming rate because he is being sweated out by the increasing temperature of his coaching chair? Probably not but you get the idea.

After a pair of AFC championship games and tons of off-the-cuff remarks Ryan was everyone’s darling. Then suddenly the team he ran went 8-8 and looked dismal last season. Now one bad year doesn’t mean he should be fired but Ryan has been blowing a lot of smoke during his time with the Jets and although making it close to a Super Bowl is nice if the team keeps headed downward it won’t matter. Ryan doesn’t seem to think his job is in jeopardy anytime soon but another bad season will certainly not help.

So I would say on a scale of Nick Saban to Bobby Valentine I’d say Rex is leaning more towards the BoSox skipper.

5. How will the Jets ultimately fare this season?

It is probably been a bit overblown how bad the Jets will be this season. They did go 8-8 a year ago and that included some tight games and an 0-3 last three weeks. But the Jets schedule is pretty tough and two teams  in the division (New England and Buffalo) both got better in the off-season meaning a whole lot would have to go right for this team to make it to the playoffs. Gut instinct says not enough will. E-I-G-H-T Eight Eight Eight wins.

-Phil

How do you think the Jets will do this season? Have I been too harsh? Not harsh enough? Let us know on Twitter (@seeuinoctober) or in the comments.

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